Sorry, AI Just Can’t Sniff Out a Market Crash
Sorry, AI Just Can’t Sniff Out a Market Crash
Blog Article
AI trailblazer Joseph Plazo just told a room full of Asia’s brightest something Wall Street has been avoiding for years: AI may be fast, but it’s not wise.
MANILA — He didn’t show up to sugarcoat things. He came to drop truth bombs.
On a sweltering Thursday morning at the Asian Institute of Management in Manila, Plazo addressed a sea of students from top Asian universities—NUS—expecting a sermon on AI’s inevitable rise.
What they got instead? A splash of cold market reality.
“AI is like your smartest intern,” Plazo smirked, “But you still don’t give the intern the keys to your vault.”
The room chuckled. Then they paused. Because he meant every word.
### The Hard Truth: AI Is Smart—But Not Human
Let’s be clear—Plazo isn’t some technophobe clinging to the past. He builds trading AIs. His firm, Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital, creates some of the most accurate systems across global markets. He understands machine learning like few do.
But that’s why his warning felt urgent.
“The problem isn’t AI,” he told the room. “The problem is us. We keep believing it’ll save us from making hard decisions. That’s not its job.”
Plazo shared real-world case studies—moments when AI signaled winning trades… just ahead of a central bank pivot or an unexpected war. Moments no dataset could foresee.
### Even The Bold Questions Got Burned
A student from Kyoto asked if LLMs might someday gauge global sentiment.
Plazo grinned.
“AI can catch a tweetstorm. But it won’t sense dread in a press conference. It misses regret in a central banker’s sigh.”
The room oohed. That one stuck.
Another asked, “Can AI ever understand conviction?”
Plazo raised an eyebrow.
“Conviction isn’t math. It’s gut. It’s shaped by failure and memory. You don’t download that.”
### A Wake-Up Call for Tomorrow’s Titans
This wasn’t about flash trading or chatbots. It was about principle.
Students admitted they saw AI as a cheat code—an escape hatch from risk, from thinking too hard. Plazo tore that idea down.
“You can automate your trades. You will never automate your integrity.”
That line echoed. Because everyone in that room—from the copyright cowboys to the quant whizzes—wanted alpha. But not at the cost of why they started.
### So What’s AI Good For?
Plazo didn’t trash AI. He credited its strengths:
- It filters noise.
- It backtests at scale.
- It spots technical setups better than any human.
But it can’t read sarcasm. It fails to sense when a politician is bluffing. And it doesn’t know if your retirement burns.
“If your AI bot makes a bad call,” Plazo asked, “do you still accept blame? Or do you blame the code?”
That’s when the silence hit.
### Trading is Human—AI is Just the Tool
Plazo wasn’t preaching finance. He was preaching accountability. Use AI—but don’t worship it. Let it assist—not decide.
And yes—he still believes in the get more info machines. He’s building tools that track geopolitics, misinformation, even psychological nuance.
But he left no doubt:
“No machine can tell you when *not* to act. That’s your job.”
### In a World of Signals, Be the Noise You Trust
As the crowd filed out—buzzing, challenged, changed—one phrase echoed down the halls:
“AI doesn’t know your values. So don’t let it make your decisions.”
In a world chasing speed, Plazo offered something rarer:
A mirror.
Because investing isn’t just about *winning*. It’s about knowing **why** you played.